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Gold’s recent rally has been fueled by a double-barreled catalyst:
Both events caused an immediate surge in risk-off sentiment, boosting demand for gold and propelling XAU/USD above $3,440, approaching its April record highs and now eyeing the target at the $3,500 level.


Markets are now bracing for this week’s catalyst where the Fed will update its dot plot and interest rate guidance. The market is pricing in no change for June, but a more dovish tone could further energize gold bulls. On the flip side, a hawkish hold could trigger profit-taking and a short-term reversal.
Technical Overview: Bullish Scenario Materialising
Previously, I have outlined in my latest update on Gold, Gold Breakout Scenarios: Safe-Haven Demand Surges After Israel-Iran Escalation Plus Soft-CPI Fuel, scenarios that could play out this new week, if not last week Friday.


As risk-off sentiment continue to weigh down on risk assets and giving space for safe-haven assets like gold, the bullish scenario is currently playing out with potentially reaching a new high if the $3,440 level holds.

Gold resumes its trend after a brief pullback into the 4-hour FVG level resting at $3,390-$3,420 level. A clean reclaim of structure would confirm the continuation rally. Institutions may use any dips around $3,420-$3,400 to load positions ahead of Fed guidance.
Targets:

Price fails to hold the upper FVG and slides back into a retracement targeting deeper liquidity zones. A clean break of $3,349 would confirm the bearish shift. This is more likely if the Fed leans hawkish or geopolitical fears ease.
Targets:
This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.
ACY Securities is one of Australia's fastest growing multi-asset online trading providers, offering ultra-low-cost trading, rock-solid execution, technologically superior account management and premium market analysis.
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