just now

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Published: just now


Global markets just got another dose of good news. Or is it?
The trade war fog “MAY” finally be lifting. Financial markets lit up this week after Washington signaled a possible easing of tariffs on Chinese imports—sparking hopes of a breakthrough in the long-running U.S.-China trade dispute.
Is this a sustainable shift or just headline-driven euphoria?
In this blog, we break down:
Whether you're a trader looking to capitalize on short-term momentum, or an investor monitoring macro signals, this post arms you with the insight—and the caution—you need to act smart in uncertain times.

With President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent both hinting at a tariff rollback, investors welcomed the news with open arms. Stocks surged, the dollar softened, and commodities gained ground—all signs of growing optimism that trade tensions may be cooling off.

In a major shift, President Donald Trump suggested that the current 145% tariffs on Chinese goods could be “substantially reduced,” from the prior to between 50% percent and 65% though not eliminated. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent took it further, calling the tariffs “unsustainable” and comparing them to a de facto trade embargo.
“We’re open to scaling back tariffs—if China is ready to do the same,” Bessent told business leaders during a closed-door session with JPMorgan.
His comments come as pressure mounts from retailers, manufacturers, and Wall Street to de-escalate a trade conflict that’s weighed on global growth for years.

Though the 90-day suspension didn’t extend to China, Washington's tone is clearly shifting. Bessent has publicly acknowledged that current China tariffs are unsustainable, comparing them to a “trade embargo.”
Beijing’s initial response? Careful, but not dismissive.
Chinese officials have made it clear they’re open to renewed talks—as long as there’s mutual respect and no threats. That’s a shift from earlier hardline tones, and it suggests both sides may be ready to talk deals instead of drawing lines.
The dual headlines—a tariff pause and potential U.S.-China tariff cuts—sent a wave of risk-on sentiment through global markets.
U.S. Stock Market


Walmart - 4-Hour Chart

Target - 1-Hour Chart

Retail giants like Walmart and Target rallied at the open on hopes of lower import costs but dissipated at the afternoon session.







While this week’s rally reflects a classic risk-on response, some investors are still urging caution. The key issue: nothing has been formally signed. Tariff relief is still hypothetical, and market optimism is pricing in diplomacy that hasn’t yet happened.

Since early April, the Volatility Index (VIX) has started to ease, signaling a gradual decline in market fear. While it remains elevated above 30, the encouraging sign is that investor anxiety is cooling—driven by optimism over potential trade breakthroughs between the U.S. and its global partners.
In short: yes, markets are leaning risk-on, but it's more of a speculative rally than a confirmed reversal. Traders may want to enjoy the upside—but stay nimble in case headlines shift again.
“Rally might be temporary.” says Cameron Systermans - Mercer Head of Multi-Asset Asia and Japan

While the headlines are promising, the truth is this rally could be built on hope, not certainty. For traders and investors, that means opportunity—but only with discipline.
Here’s how to navigate the current environment:
Approach: Consider short-term momentum trades on confirmed catalysts. Use tight stops in case sentiment turns.
2. Hedge with Safe Havens or Volatility Products
Below are links to help you navigate whether the market is risk-on or risk-off sentiment.
3. Use Economic Calendar and Trade Windows Wisely

Check out Finlogix economic calendar: https://www.finlogix.com/calendar
4. Monitor the Tone, Not Just the Data

Approach: Stay nimble. Don’t marry trades. The market can flip on one headline.

The global trade war has been a drag on growth, markets, and investor confidence for years. This week, we may have seen the first signs that a reset is possible.
The 90-day tariff suspension provided immediate breathing room for global trade partners. And now, potential tariff cuts on Chinese goods could be the breakthrough markets have been waiting for. The road to a deal won’t be easy—but for now, the tone is improving, and the markets are responding.
This could be the start of something bigger—or just another false dawn. Be optimistic, but strategic. Opportunities are there—but only for those who manage risk while others chase headlines.
Learn how to navigate yourself in times of turmoil. Check out my market education links:
Want to learn how to trade like the Smart Money? Check out my new contents:
https://acy.com/en/market-news/education/smc-playbook-series-beginners-guide-j-o-04032025-155530/
Follow me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasperosita/
Join me in Discord: https://discord.gg/G8f7a5RnaF
This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.
ACY Securities is one of Australia's fastest growing multi-asset online trading providers, offering ultra-low-cost trading, rock-solid execution, technologically superior account management and premium market analysis.
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