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      Equlas Money GBPUSD (Pound Dollar) Outlook February 12 2026

      Published: just now

      Equlas Money gbpusd pound dollar outlook february 2026

      12 February 2026

      Factors in price action (Mon–Wed):

       

      GBP: Cabinet unity behind PM Keir Starmer trimmed the political risk premium, giving GBP some relief on Monday. Gains were modest as markets await Q4 GDP and ongoing labour-market signals.


      USD: Fell for three consecutive sessions through Tuesday amid disappointing December retail sales and weaker-than-expected payroll guidance, then rebounded Wednesday after an unexpectedly strong January nonfarm payrolls report (+130k) and a lower unemployment rate, pushing the market to price Fed cuts later (June → July).


      • Treasury yields followed a similar pattern: lower early in the week, rising post-payrolls, providing USD support.

       

      This week (Thu–Fri preview):

      UK: Q4 GDP (Thu) — expected soft end to 2025, with early 2026 recovery possible as budget uncertainty fades. Key risk remains a fragile job market and political headlines.


      US: Jan CPI (Fri) — main focus for Fed guidance; will set near-term USD tone.


      Eurozone: Trade data (Fri) — ongoing impact of US tariffs and Chinese shipment diversion could influence broader risk sentiment.

       

      Key risks ahead:

      • UK GDP weaker than expected → GBP downside pressure.
      • Strong US CPI → USD supported → GBPUSD lower.
      • Continued political stability → limits GBP downside, allows temporary rallies.
      • Eurozone trade surprises → indirect risk-on/off influence via EURUSD moves.

       

      Get a quote from Equals Money.

       

       

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      This content may have been written by a third party. LiquidityFinder makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplies by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.
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