just now

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Published: just now

EUR/GBP remains under bearish pressure as price trades below key resistance and the 50 EMA on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
The higher-timeframe structure continues to favor sellers, while the daily chart has shifted from bullish to bearish after breaking below a previous Higher Low (HL).
Now, all eyes are on the 0.85500–0.85630 resistance zone.
If EUR/GBP rejects this area and confirms bearish price action, the pair could potentially resume its downside move toward 0.85200.
However, a confirmed break and retest above resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and open the door toward 0.86141.
The plan remains simple:
Wait for confirmation. Let price action decide.
The EUR/GBP pair is under pressure below the 0.85500–0.85630 resistance zone.
The EUR/GBP weekly chart continues to show a bearish market structure, with sellers maintaining control around a major resistance level.
Price recently rejected weekly resistance and remains below the 50 EMA, which provides additional confirmation that the broader trend is still favoring the downside.
Weekly Timeframe Price Action Analysis. Market Structure Forming a Potential Lower High (LH)
More importantly, EUR/GBP has formed a strong bearish engulfing candlestick around a potential Lower High (LH) structure.
This combination suggests that sellers are defending the resistance zone and that downside momentum could continue if price confirms another rejection.
Weekly chart observations:
The key question now is:
Will the 0.85500–0.85630 resistance zone attract sellers again, or can buyers finally break above it?
That is where the daily chart becomes important.
The EUR/GBP daily chart has shifted from bullish to bearish after price broke below a previous bullish Higher Low (HL) structure and violated daily support.
This structural break is important because it suggests that buyers are losing control of the short-term trend
Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis. Price Retesting the Double-top Neckline
Following the break, price is now developing a potential Lower High (LH) and retesting the double-top neckline/resistance area.
If sellers defend this zone and bearish candlestick confirmation appears, the current structure could provide a potential continuation setup toward the downside.
Daily chart observations:
Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis. Bullish Bias Anticipation
The bullish scenario becomes more attractive if buyers can break and retest the 0.85500–0.85815 weekly resistance zone.
However, simply moving above resistance is not enough.
A false breakout could quickly push price back below the level.
Bullish momentum could occur in EUR/GBP if:
Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis. Bullish Take Profit and Stop-loss Placement
Note: The bullish scenario is considered lower probability because it would move against the prevailing higher timeframe bearish structure.
Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis. Bearish Bias Anticipation
The bearish scenario remains the higher-probability setup while the weekly and daily structures continue to favor sellers.
The key area to monitor is the 0.85500 - 0.85630 daily resistance zone.
If price retests this area and produces a strong bearish rejection, sellers could regain control and potentially push EUR/GBP toward the 0.85200 target.
Bearish momentum could occur in EUR/GBP if:
Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis. Bearish Take Profit and Stop-loss Placement
Note: The bearish setup is considered higher probability because it aligns with the higher timeframe bearish market structure.
to the 0.85500–0.85630 resistance zone.
The weekly and daily charts currently favor sellers, with price trading below the 50 EMA and the market structure showing signs of continued downside pressure.
For the bearish scenario, the ideal confirmation would be a retest and rejection of 0.85500–0.85630, followed by bearish price action and a potential move toward 0.85200.
For the bullish scenario, buyers need to prove their strength with a clean breakout and retest above 0.85500–0.85815, potentially opening the path toward 0.86141.
Wait for the level. Wait for confirmation. Then execute the plan.
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