Explore Companies BySectors & Categories
Explore Companies ByUse Cases
Explore Companies ByProducts & Services
Explore Companies ByRankings & Reviews
Featured NewsCompaniesMarketsCryptoTechRegulatoryCommentaryUKUSWorldMore

    Latest Wires

      Daily Newsletter

      LF Daily News

      Daily industry focused newsletter giving you an overview for the financial & finTech industry.

      See All Newsletters
      By clicking "Sign Up" you are agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy

      Prediction Markets are Becoming a Routing Problem.

      Posted: just now

      Global

      The question is no longer just what people can trade. It’s increasingly about where the signal appears and how seamlessly it reaches execution.


      Three trends Merchant Seven is watching:


      1. Discovery and execution are coming together.

      Platforms are making it easier to compare contracts across venues and execute from a single workflow.


      2. Probability data is moving into institutional tools.

      Market-implied probabilities are showing up alongside analytics, portfolio data, and execution tools.


      3. Workflow is becoming the competitive advantage.

      The winner may not be the platform with the most contracts, but the one that puts the right signals in front of traders at the right time.


      Prediction markets may be evolving from standalone destinations into another part of the trading stack. As probabilities and event contracts move into existing platforms and workflows, distribution could become just as important as the markets themselves.


      What do you think? Will prediction markets become a core feature inside existing trading platforms or remain standalone destinations?


      Our Prediction Markets Research Report is coming in the next few days. Stay tuned.

      Image for Prediction Markets are Becoming a Routing Problem.
      Comments
      Most Recent
      Create Your FREE Account
      Get access to latest news, updates, real-time data, brokerage and trading firm insights and customized information feeds.

      Americans vote on November 3 for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate. The presidency is not on the ballot, which means any new Congress will still need the President's signature to turn bills into law. Markets care about the midterms less for the laws that follow and more for what changes in oversight, budgets and the regulatory mood of Washington.

      just now

      The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has said it is not currently convinced that prediction markets for retail clients are in the public interest. ASIC Chair Sarah Court said prediction market contracts have all the features of a bet, likening them to binary options, which are banned for retail clients.

      just now

      Binance has confirmed a security incident with an estimated total impact of around $6.3 billion, linked by its initial investigation to a compromised DevOps engineer's laptop. Around $3 billion has been frozen on-chain, and the exchange says it will cover all losses from its SAFU fund and company funds.

      just now

      US crypto exchange Coinbase has reported net income of $719 million for the third quarter of 2026, up 66% from $432.6 million a year earlier. Prediction markets passed $200 million in annualised revenue, and paid Coinbase One subscribers reached an all-time high.

      just now

      Webull Securities Co., Ltd., the Japanese subsidiary of Webull Corporation, has started handling US Treasury bonds, giving customers access to about 20,000 bonds as of 30 October 2026. The service lets users trade market-traded bonds like stocks, with real-time prices and yields, from $100.

      just now

      Intercontinental Exchange and Trade[XYZ] have agreed to bring Trade[XYZ]’s perpetual markets onshore in the US through a new regulated market and clearing structure for round-the-clock retail trading built on Hyperliquid, operated separately from ICE’s institutional futures franchise, subject to regulatory approvals.

      just now

      The Utah Attorney General's Office has filed 14 criminal charges against KalshiEX, LLC, the operator of US prediction market Kalshi, in a case that names co-founders Tarek Mansour, Chief Executive Officer, and Luana Lopes Lara, Chief Operating Officer, as co-defendants.

      just now

      US blockchain payments company Ripple and US crypto exchange Coinbase have partnered to make Ripple's US dollar stablecoin, Ripple USD (RLUSD), available across Coinbase's platforms

      just now

      The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has secured High Court undertakings to ensure that global crypto exchange HTX, formerly known as Huobi, will not knowingly promote cryptoasset services unlawfully to UK consumers.

      just now

      US post-trade market infrastructure provider DTCC has launched its DTCC Tokenization Service (DTS) through its subsidiary The Depository Trust Company.

      just now
      Feed