AUD/CHF Price Action Forecast: Price Breaks Below Consolidation, What's Next?

Key takeaways:

1. The weekly chart confirms a strong bearish trend with a visible double top pattern and rejected resistance near 0.56504.
2. The daily timeframe shows a broken consolidation zone, with the 50 EMA now positioned to act as a dynamic resistance level.
3. The ideal strategy is a high-probability, bearish break and retest setup that targets the 0.55400 price level.

How did previous AUD/CHF price action signal the move?

Weekly chart

Previous Weekly Chart Price Action Analysis

Here is what happened on the AUD/CHF weekly timeframe:

1. AUD/CHF continued its bearish trend after confirming a lower high.
2. A double top pattern formed, reinforcing the bearish reversal.
3. Sellers successfully defended the weekly resistance zone, preventing further upside.
4. A strong bearish candlestick formed near the swing highs, confirming selling pressure and increasing the probability of further downside.

To better understand this analysis, read my previous AUD/CHF price action breakdown for the full market context:

1. AUD/CHF Forex Price Action Idea: Are Sellers Defending the 0.56504–0.56200 Key Level?

Daily chart

Previous Daily Chart Price Action Analysis

On the daily timeframe, price remained in a bearish market structure but consolidated before continuing lower.

Daily Chart Observations:

1. Daily market structure remained bearish.
2. Price broke below a key support level, which later acted as resistance.
3. The 50 EMA provided dynamic support during consolidation.
4. Price broke out of the consolidation, confirming the bearish continuation.

Want to know exactly how I identified the key support and resistance levels and the bearish market structure on AUD/CHF? Read this step-by-step guide and learn the same price action process I used:

1. A Guide to Master a Price Action Strategy That Works in Any Market: Complete Guide on How to Trade with Market Structure + Support & Resistance (Step-by-Step)

What is the current technical price action on AUD/CHF telling us?

Daily chart

Daily Chart Price Action Analysis. Broke out at a Consolidation Zone

Daily Chart Price Action Analysis. Retesting Daily Resistance Level

Daily Chart Observations:

1. Daily market structure remained bearish.
2. Price broke out of the consolidation, confirming the bearish continuation.
3. Price broke below a key support level, which potentially act as a resistance
4. The 50 EMA could potentially act as a secondary resistance

Want to master how to identify market trends and confirming valid key levels? Check out these blogs:

1. A Guide to Master a Price Action Strategy That Works in Any Market: Complete Guide on How to Trade with Market Structure + Support & Resistance (Step-by-Step)
2. A Guide to Master Price Action Strategy that Works in Any Market: How to Master the Trend in Trading Any Market
3. A Guide to Master a Strategy that Works in any Market: The Structure of a Market Trend
4. A Guide to Master a Strategy that Works in Any Market: How to Identify Support and Resistance Levels?

What is the best approach on AUD/CHF current price action?

AUD/CHF is currently showing signs of breakout on a consolidation. A bearish break and retest setup would be the ideal strategy for the current price action, as it already confirms the breakout of support level.

Want to learn more about the break and retest setups? Check out these blogs:

1. Break and Retest: A Simple Repetitive Price Action Pattern?
2. Break and Retest: How to Capitalize Repetitive Patterns in Trading?

Bullish scenario

Bullish momentum could occur in AUD/CHF if:

1. If price break and retest weekly resistance level at 0.56324 – 0.56675
2. Proper breakout of the consolidation zone
3. Confirm bullish price action and rejection signals after the retest before considering continuation to the upside

Trade idea:

1. Target price or profit at 0.57110
2. Stop-loss placed below potential support zone (once weekly resistance is broken then it could now potentially act as a support level)

Note: This bullish trade idea on AUD/CHF is considered a low-probability setup since it did not align with the overall higher timeframe trend.

Want to learn more how to confirm a proper candlestick confirmation and find and how to find high-probability setups? Check out these blogs:

1. The Top Japanese Candlestick Patterns to Trade: Mastering Japanese Candlestick Confirmation + Pairing with Price Action Analysis
2. The Top Japanese Candlestick Patterns to Trade: How to Use the Engulfing Candlestick as a High-Probability Entry Signal

Bearish scenario

Bearish momentum could occur in AUD/CHF if:

1. If price properly retest daily resistance level 0.55969 - 0.56051
2. Confirm a bearish candle stick confirmation at daily resistance zone

Trade idea:

1. Target Price or take profit at 0.55400
2. Stop-loss placed above potential resistance zone

Note: This bearish trade idea on AUD/CHF is considered a high-probability setup since it does align with the overall bearish trend of the market.

Final take

AUD/CHF is still looking bearish after breaking below consolidation!

The best approach is to wait for a retest of resistance and a clear bearish confirmation before looking for selling opportunities. A bullish move is still possible, but it has a lower probability since it goes against the overall trend.

Always remember:

The highest-probability trades usually come from trading with the trend. Patience for confirmation often beats trying to predict reversals.

Now you already have a low and high-probability trade setup on AUD/CHF then,

Your next step is:

1. To know trader’s beginner steps before your trade
2. Mastering your psychology
3. Mastering the simple price action strategy
4. Mastering Repetitive Patterns in Trading
5. Trading live using this simple price action strategy

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Disclaimer:

Trading forex and derivative instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all individuals. Only use funds that you are prepared to lose. It is important to understand how these markets work and the risks involved before trading, and to seek independent financial advice if needed. All market analysis and insights shared are intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. June 26, 2026