AUDJPY Price Action Forecast: Bears Eye 109.200 as Weekly Resistance Holds

The AUDJPY price forecast remains bearish as the weekly chart shows strong rejection at resistance and the daily chart confirms a break below weekly support. These developments suggest sellers continue to limit recovery attempts.

The 110.000–110.600 resistance zone is the main area to monitor. A retest followed by bearish candlestick confirmation could strengthen the case for a move toward 109.200.

Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 110.600, followed by a successful retest of the zone as support, could support a recovery toward 111.580.

Key Takeaways

1. AUDJPY’s weekly and daily charts remain bearish.
2. Weekly candlestick rejection suggests sellers are active at resistance.
3. The daily chart has broken below weekly support.
4. 110.000–110.600 is the key resistance zone.
5. A confirmed bearish rejection could bring 109.200 into focus.
6. A breakout and successful support retest could open the way toward 111.580.

AUDJPY Technical Analysis: What Does Price Action Show?

AUDJPY Weekly Chart: Bearish Trend Continues as Resistance Holds

The weekly AUDJPY chart remains in a bearish trend. Strong rejection at weekly resistance suggests buyers are struggling to sustain a recovery, while sellers continue to defend the area.

A bearish rejection candle indicates that price attempted to move higher but encountered selling pressure. Its significance increases when it forms at an established resistance zone and is followed by further downside.

Weekly Timeframe Price Action Analysis: AUDJPY Rejects Weekly Resistance as the Bearish Trend Continues.

Understanding market structure alongside support and resistance helps explain why the location of this rejection matters.

For AUDJPY, attention remains on 110.000–110.600. Continued failure to reclaim this zone would support the bearish outlook.

Key weekly observations include:

1. An ongoing bearish trend.
2. Strong rejection at weekly resistance.
3. Bearish candlestick behavior suggesting selling pressure at the level.
4. Recovery attempts remaining vulnerable while resistance holds.
5. If the weekly candle is still forming, its final close will provide a clearer assessment. An unfinished rejection can change before the trading week ends.

AUDJPY Daily Chart: Weekly Support Breakdown Supports the Bearish Outlook

Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis: AUDJPY Breaks Below Weekly Support as Bearish Pressure Persists.

The daily AUDJPY chart shows a break below weekly support, reinforcing the bearish direction seen on the higher timeframe.

Support is an area where buyers previously helped prevent further declines. Once price breaks below it, a recovery toward that area may encounter sellers, allowing former support to act as resistance.

The next important development is how price behaves around 110.000–110.600. A failed retest would support bearish continuation, while a sustained recovery above the zone would challenge the immediate downside outlook.

For beginners, the key question is straightforward: Will sellers defend resistance, or can buyers reclaim the zone as support?

AUDJPY Support and Resistance: Key Levels to Watch

A move into the resistance zone does not automatically signal a bullish breakout. A daily close above 110.600, followed by a successful retest, would provide stronger evidence that buyers have reclaimed the area.

Likewise, touching resistance alone does not confirm a bearish setup. The completed candle and subsequent price movement provide more useful evidence.

AUDJPY Price Forecast: Bearish and Bullish Scenarios

Bearish Scenario: Resistance Rejection Could Bring 109.200 Into Focus

Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis: Bearish Rejection at 110.000–110.600 Could Support a Move Toward 109.200.

The bearish scenario follows the current weekly and daily trend.

AUDJPY would need to retest 110.000–110.600 from below and fail to reclaim the zone. A completed bearish rejection candle would suggest sellers are continuing to defend resistance.

Further downward movement would strengthen the case for a potential decline toward 109.200.

Bearish Confirmation Checklist:

Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis: Conditional Bearish Objective

1. Price retests the 110.000–110.600 resistance zone from below.
2. Buyers fail to establish the zone as support.
3. A completed bearish rejection or bearish engulfing candle forms at resistance.
4. A move below the rejection candle’s low provides additional confirmation.
5. Downward follow-through supports a potential move toward 109.200.

Learning to assess candlestick confirmation at key levels helps distinguish an initial reaction from a more developed setup.

Bearish confirmation sequence: Resistance retest → bearish candle close → downward follow-through.

A sustained recovery above 110.600, followed by a successful support retest, would weaken this bearish setup.

Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above 110.600 Could Support a Recovery Toward 111.580

Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis: A Confirmed Breakout and Support Retest Could Bring 0.99084 Into Focus.

The bullish scenario requires AUDJPY to overcome the 110.000–110.600 resistance zone.

A decisive daily close above 110.600 would suggest buyers are beginning to challenge selling pressure. Price would then need to retest the broken resistance zone and hold it as support.

This break and retest price action pattern helps assess whether buyers can defend the area after the breakout.

Bullish Confirmation Checklist:

Daily Timeframe Price Action Analysis: Conditional Bullish Objective

1. A daily candle closes decisively above 110.600.
2. Price returns to test 110.000–110.600 from above.
3. The former resistance zone holds as support.
4. A completed bullish rejection or bullish engulfing candlestick forms during the retest.
5. Upward follow-through supports a potential recovery toward 111.580.

Bullish confirmation sequence: Resistance breakout → support retest → bullish candle close → upward follow-through.

If price briefly breaks above resistance but falls back below the zone, the bullish setup would weaken. This scenario initially represents a recovery against the bearish weekly trend; it would not automatically confirm a complete trend reversal.

Final Take: What to Watch Next on AUDJPY

AUDJPY’s bearish weekly trend and daily support breakdown keep attention on 110.000–110.600 resistance.

A failed retest followed by bearish candlestick confirmation would strengthen the downside scenario toward 109.200. A daily close above 110.600, followed by a successful support retest, could instead support a recovery toward 111.580.

Both targets remain conditional. Planning take-profit targets using market structure and risk-reward helps connect these price objectives to a defined trading plan.

Watch the levels. Wait for the retest. Let price confirm the direction.

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