Last week we identified five bearish catalysts converging into a single week and argued that the bears had a window but not the narrative. The data came in largely as expected. CPI fell to 3.8%. PPI confirmed the same backward-looking story. Retail sales badly missed, growing 0.2% against a 1.0% forecast. Chair Warsh was guarded in his congressional testimony. Markets had a difficult session before stabilizing after hours on the CPI print.
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