NASDAQ 100 Price Action Outlook: Will the Head and Shoulders Pattern Trigger a Massive Sell-Off on NAS100?

Key takeaways:

1. Trend Confirmation: The market structure is heavily bearish on both daily and weekly charts.
2. Crucial Resistance: Sellers are defending the 29,090.0 to 29,410 zone.
3. Chart Pattern: Price is actively retesting a massive Head and Shoulders pattern neckline.
4. High-Probability Setup: Downside profit targets are set at 28,445 and 25,860.

What is the current technical price action on NAS100 telling us?

Weekly Chart

Weekly Chart Price Action Analysis. Shift of Structure (From Bullish to Bearish)

The weekly chart on NAS100 suggests the market has transitioned from a bullish market structure to a bearish one after breaking below its previous higher low.

Weekly Chart Price Action Analysis

This break of structure is significant because it signals that buyers are losing control while sellers are beginning to dominate the market.

Weekly chart observations:

1. Bearish market structure confirmed.
2. Lower high formed at weekly resistance.
3. Strong bearish candlestick confirms the shift.
4. Retesting the weekly head & shoulders neckline.

Daily chart

Daily Chart Price Action Analysis. Price Break Daily Support Level

The daily chart confirms the bearish trend after price broke below a key support level. That support is now acting as resistance,

Daily chart observations:

1. Bearish market structure confirmed.
2. Support has turned into resistance.
3. Retesting the daily head and shoulders neckline.

Want to know how market trends and valid key levels was identified? Check out these blogs:

1. A Guide to Master a Price Action Strategy That Works in Any Market: Complete Guide on How to Trade with Market Structure + Support & Resistance (Step-by-Step)
2. A Guide to Master Price Action Strategy that Works in Any Market: How to Master the Trend in Trading Any Market
3. A Guide to Master a Strategy that Works in any Market: The Structure of a Market Trend
4. A Guide to Master a Strategy that Works in Any Market: How to Identify Support and Resistance Levels?

What is the best setup on NAS100's current price action?

Bullish scenario (Lower-probability setup)

This bullish setup remains valid only if buyers confirm a breakout above the resistance level.

Bullish momentum could occur in NAS100 if:

1. Price breaks and retests the $29090.0 – $29410 daily resistance level.
2. Weekly and daily resistance levels are broken.
3. A bullish candlestick confirms after the breakout.

Trade idea:

1. Target price: $29880.0
2. Stop-loss: Below the new support level after the breakout and retest.
3. Risk management: Always use proper position sizing and risk management.

Take note:

This bullish setup on NAS100 is a lower-probability trade because it goes against the higher timeframe trend.

Bearish scenario (Higher-probability setup)

This is the preferred setup as it follows the dominant bearish trend.

Bearish momentum could occur in NAS100 if:

1. Price properly retests and rejects $29090.0 – $29410 daily resistance zone.
2. A strong bearish rejection candlestick forms at resistance.

Trade idea:

1. Target Price 1: $28,445
2. Target price 2: $25,860 (if breaks below target price1, potentially bearish momentum continues)
3. Stop-loss: Above the resistance zone.
4. Risk management: Follow proper position sizing and risk management.

Take note:

This is a higher-probability setup on NAS100 because it follows the prevailing bearish trend on the weekly and daily timeframes. Waiting for bearish confirmation before entering improves the quality of the setup.

Want the full NAS100 trade setup? Watch the previous live trading session for real-time market analysis, entry confirmation, and a complete high-probability trade breakdown:

Jump to 8:15–16:50 for a detailed NAS100 price action breakdown, including market structure, key resistance, trade confirmation, and the analysis behind the setup.

Final take

NAS100 remains bearish on both the weekly and daily timeframes. As long as price stays below the 29,090–29,410 resistance zone, the downside remains the higher-probability scenario. Wait for price action confirmation and always manage your risk before entering any trade.

If you want to develop a professional trading mindset while learning how to identify high-probability price action setups across Gold, Forex, Crypto, Commodities and Indices, continue following our market analysis and educational guides.

Now you already have a high-probability outlook on NAS100 this week then,

Your next step is:

1. To know trader’s beginner steps before your trade
2. Mastering your psychology
3. Mastering the simple price action strategy
4. Mastering Repetitive Patterns in Trading
5. Trading live using this simple price action strategy

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Disclaimer:

Trading forex and derivative instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all individuals. Only use funds that you are prepared to lose. It is important to understand how these markets work and the risks involved before trading, and to seek independent financial advice if needed. All market analysis and insights shared are intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. July 22, 2026